LABOR'S VANISHING CONTENT
(Editor's note: In the beginning computers could only communicate in
capital letters. This is one of 20 columns from Dr. Tomorrow's original
series, included here to indicate change as well as describe it. Those
columns also hold another story, that change is swift and offers both
disaster and opportunity.)
PRUDENT INVESTORS SHOULD TAKE A STEP BACK OCCASIONALLY AND TRY TO SEE
THE "PANORAMA GRANDE" -- THE BIG PICTURE. AWAY FROM THE DAILY SWINGS OF
COMMERCE, WHAT IS REALLY HAPPENING?
A MASSIVE CHANGE FROM A LABOR-DOMINATED INDUSTRIAL SCENE TO A
CAPITAL-INTENSIVE ENVIRONMENT HAS SILENTLY ENVELOPED US ALL.
BACK IN THE DAYS WHEN 98 PERCENT OF THE WORLD'S POPULATION WERE
FARMERS, FEW GAVE MUCH THOUGHT TO THE IDEA THAT IT MIGHT NOT ALWAYS BE
THAT WAY.
TODAY THE FARMING COMMUNITY HAS SHRUNK TO JUST TWO PERCENT OF A MUCH
LARGER POPULATION. WE FEED ALL THOSE EXTRA BODIES MUCH BETTER, EXPORT
OVERSEAS AND STILL HAVE HUGE SURPLUSES. WE ACCOMPLISHED THIS AS THE DAYS
OF THE STRONG BACK AND LOW-COST SCYTHE CAME TO AN END. BACK THEN YOU
WERE RICH IF YOU HAD LAND.
ONCE UPON A TIME MANUFACTURING WAS THE ALL-CONSUMING WORKPLACE. IN
1843, BRITAIN LED THE WORLD, PRODUCING 73 PERCENT OF ALL MACHINEMANUFACTURED GOODS. TODAY BRITAIN PRODUCES BUT ONE PERCENT.
MANUFACTURING TODAY IS ONLY ABOUT 20 PERCENT OF THE BUSINESS WORLD. THE
DAY OF THE STRONG ARM AND HEAVY MACHINE TOOL IS OVER. THAT WAS THE
PERIOD WHEN YOU WERE RICH IF YOU OWNED MACHINES.
WITH THE TYPEWRITER CAME THE MODERN FORM OF OFFICE WORK. IT GREW TO
ABOUT 30 PERCENT OF ALL WORK PERFORMED. THIS ENVIRONMENT ALLOWED WOMEN,
FOR THE FIRST TIME IN LARGE NUMBERS, TO MOVE INTO THE BUSINESS WORLD.
BOTH FOR FINANCIAL ADVANCEMENT AND MARRIAGE. IT WAS THE TIME OF AGILE
FINGERS. NOW THAT ERA IS COMING TO AN END.
TODAY WE LIVE IN THE CENTRE OF THE COMMUNICATIONS AGE. IT IS ALL
AROUND US. COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS NOW ACCOUNT, ACCORDING TO THE LATEST
FIGURES, FOR UP TO 58 PERCENT OF THE WORKFORCE, DEPENDING ON THE
CRITERIA USED TO MEASURE IT, WHICH ITSELF IS CHANGING DAILY. NOW, IF YOU
HAVE "INFORMATION" YOU ARE RICH.
TWO CENTURIES AGO ALMOST EVERYONE WAS A FARMER, AS HAD BEEN THE CASE
FOR HUNDREDS OF YEARS. A HUNDRED YEARS AGO THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION WAS
IN FULL FLOWER. ONLY 40 YEARS AGO SUCH VISIONARIES AS ARTHUR C. CLARKE
SAW THE DAWN OF THE COMMUNICATIONS AGE. AS THIS AGE CURRENTLY BURSTS
INTO FULL FLOWER, INDICATIONS SUGGEST THAT YET ANOTHER AGE IS WAITING IN
THE WINGS. WINDOWS OF OPPORTUNITY FOR INDIVIDUALS, COMPANIES,
GOVERNMENTS, COUNTRIES, "AGES" DO NOT LAST LONG ANYMORE. HAIL THE
FORTHCOMING KING: MINDLINK.
A FEW YEARS AGO EXPERIMENTATION IN THE 'HUMAN POTENTIAL' MOVEMENT
FOUND THAT WE CAN CONTROL OUR MENTAL ALPHA AND BETA WAVES BY THINKING.
THIS CONTROL WAS USED MAINLY FOR MEDITATION AND RELAXATION. WE HAVE
SINCE LEARNED TO USE SUCH "THOUGHT WAVES" IN CONJUNCTION WITH CERTAIN
SWITCHING DEVICES TO CONTROL AND COMMAND SWITCHES ON COMPUTERS. IT'S NOT
MUCH AT THE MOMENT, BUT NEITHER IS A CHILD AT CONCEPTION.
FOR YEARS MANY PEOPLE HAVE CLAIMED THEY CAN SEE AURAS. RUSSIAN
KERILIAN PHOTOGRAPHY SHOWED THAT EVERY PERSON EMITS AN ENERGY FORCE.
THESE UNKNOWNS ARE TO THE MINDLINK AGE WHAT RADIO AND TELEVISION WAVES
WERE TO THE EARLY CITIZENS OF THE INDUSTRIAL AGE. INTERESTING... BUT
WHAT DO YOU DO WITH THEM? MORE THAN JUST A FEW ARE TRYING TO FIND OUT.
TODAY MORE ADVANCED DEVELOPMENTS OF THE COMMUNICATIONS AGE ARE MAKING
FURTHER "MINDLINK" ADVANCES SEEM NOT SO FAR AWAY. WHAT WAS "BUCK
ROGERISH" LAST YEAR, DOESN'T APPEAR TO BE THAT FAR OUT TODAY.
KURZWEIL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE OF MASSACHUSETTS IS NOW MARKETING
"VOICEWRITER". WITH IT YOU DICTATE TO A SCREEN, GIVE FURTHER
INSTRUCTIONS AND YOUR CORRESPONDENCE IS DESPATCHED ELECTRONICALLY TO THE
ADDRESSEE. IMMEDIATELY. YET NO HUMAN HAND HAS TOUCHED A THING!
FUJITSU, JAPAN'S LARGEST COMPUTER COMPANY, NOW HAS A "UNIVERSAL
TRANSLATOR", WHICH TRANSLATES JAPANESE INTO ENGLISH AND VICE VERSA AT
1,000 WORDS A MINUTE. A VIDEO I PLAY AT MANY SEMINARS SHOWS A BLACK
AFRICAN SPEAKING SWAHILI, FROM JAPAN VIA SATELLITE, TO A CANADIAN INUIT
IN IQALUIT, NORTHWEST TERRITORIES WHO REPLIES IN INUKTITUT.
THEY BOTH, VIA THE COMPUTER, UNDERSTAND ONE ANOTHER. SINCE THE DIALOG
HAS BEEN DIGITALIZED IT CAN ALSO BE VOICE SYNTHESIZED. ONE COULD HAVE
BEEN BLIND AND THE OTHER DEAF. IT WOULDN'T HAVE MATTERED. WITH THIS
DEVELOPMENT THE BLIND CAN SEE AND THE DEAF CAN HEAR.
THINK OF THE IMPLICATIONS FOR INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS COMMUNICATIONS.
WHAT WILL IT DO TO TRANSLATORS ON PARLIAMENT HILL OR AT THE UNITED
NATIONS? WHAT WILL IT DO TO SCHOOL BOARDS, PROVINCES AND COUNTRIES THAT
HAVE SCHEDULED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS FOR LANGUAGE TRAINING. WILL ANYONE
WANT TO LEARN ANOTHER LANGUAGE WHEN THERE IS NO LONGER ANY FINANCIAL
INCENTIVE TO DO SO?
SOME WILL STILL WANT TO LEARN LANGUAGES, LIKE TODAY SOME WANT TO KNOW
LATIN. BUT IT REALLY ISN'T A BIG SELLER IN THE SCHEME OF THINGS AND
KNOWING LATIN FLUENTLY WILL NOT MAKE MANY A PROFITABLE INCOME.
ALL THIS IS REDUCING THE AMOUNT OF WHAT WE USED TO CALL "LABOR" IN THE
"OLD WORLD". NOT ONLY IS THE WORKPLACE CHANGING, BUT EVEN OUR DEFINITION
OF WORK IS UNDERGOING RAPID TRANSFORMATION. ARE YOU PREPARED TO HANDLE
THIS?
(PLEASE SEE ILLUSTRATION NUMBER 2)
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