WHERE HAVE ALL THE JOBS GONE?
Do you remember jobs of days past? A few short years ago, no
passenger elevator moved without an operator, no newspaper office
could function without a "copy boy" and papers could not be sold
without a newsboy on every downtown corner. Utility services could
never have got started without sweating men digging ditches, for
phone, water and sewer lines? And, what about gas station
attendants, street car conductors, typewriter repairmen,
stenographers, cops walking the beat, household bread or milk
deliverymen, train firemen, printbox type setters, linotype
operators and hydro meter readers? Most have gone to that big
unemployment centre in the sky.
What has replaced them? Computers, automated teller machines, fax
machines. Even machines are being replaced -- by machines that do
multiple jobs, like the new E-mail modem/fax/answering machine by
Dove Computers, that does three jobs in one -- at half the price of
last year's single-unit fax machine.
If your job can be replaced by a machine, even one not yet invented,
better start retraining now. Global competition dictates it. If
your company cannot match productivity of overseas robots on the
dull, monotonous, repetitive, still existing jobs of the past, be
assured some foreign operation has already got that market targeted.
If your work is tied to what-used-to-be-called a "natural resource"
don't expect to be working at your present job when you retire. It
or the industry involved won't be around. While Viceroy of India,
Lord Mountbatten presided over the end of the British Empire. Today
Jack Munro, Canadian President of the International Woodworkers of
America, has a similar position -- his army of lumberjacks is
shrinking rapidly and is now 50 percent smaller than a few years ago.
No amount of promotional "creativity" can make it grow again.
Plastic is replacing steel. Ceramics, vinyl and such new materials
as spun carbon are replacing wood, steel and other materials.
Molecular engineers are developing materials that never existed
before ... materials that will be "assembled" molecule by molecule,
with a strength that will make steel look weak. Cheap carbon spun
fibres are already replacing steel reinforcing rods in office wall
construction in Japan. The Japanese Ohbayashi Corporation, builds
the first floor of an office, apartment or hotel building that is
itself a robot. The first floor builds the rest of the building with
only two humans supervising the computerized "control tower".
Postal delivery which once dominated the day's office work is fast
being replaced by E-mail, faxes and telephones. The answering
machine is replacing the receptionist, the automated bank machine is
replacing many human bank tellers and voice navigators are replacing
the secretaries. No job is sacred. Even the Vatican is broadcasting
messages via satellites.
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