THE TIME FAMINE
For decades we have been hearing about all the leisure time we are
going to have in the new Communications Age. Well, perhaps for the
techno-peasants but I want you to know that will not apply to those
at the cutting edge. For they will be living in: "The Land of the
Time Famine" - A place in time or space, (much like a farmer without
water during a draught), finds a lack of available time for the tasks
to be accomplished.
Even today, as we find ourselves plunging deeper into the
Communications Age, those in the new sunrise industries are finding
the rate of change is requiring them to spend almost one day a week
learning what's new just to keep up. This is exceptionally true in
computer companies like Apple, IBM or Cray. It also applies to
biotech operations and those delivering advanced medical services
like the MRI (Magnetic resonance Image) , PET (Positron Emission
Tomographic) And QSI (Quantified Signal Image) scanners. For years
to come people working with such equipment will have far more work to
do than their skilled numbers can handle. Continuing advances in
these fields will increase the pressure. This will also apply to
operating room nurses (as the population ages), creative advertising
agency personnel (as the differing cultures of those five billion
people out there merge), New Age electronic learning navigators,
stock brokers, financial analysts, communications workers and all
those now getting plugged into the 24-hour global time clock.
They are the first entrants into "The Land of the Time Famine".
As one looks into this phenomenon it is easier to see why
traditional governmental, educational and business institutions can
not survive in a new environment where information travels at the
speed of light. Never mind governments that are basically operating
from manuals written in the thirties and sixties, let's take
teachers: In times of little or slow change it was easy to keep up
with that infrequent and minimal change. But, as change accelerated
it changed the very environment itself. Where once educators had 130
years to learn about electricity (after the invention of the electric
motor, for example) today they have just weeks to know the latest.
The system isn't structured to handle rapid change. The students are
aware of that. Their music tells them so.
Perhaps even more important is that those today at the cutting
edge just don't have the time to drop out and become teachers or even
to train teachers. By the time that would occur in the old format the
very thing they dropped out to teach has itself become obsolete. Look
at the speed at which we went from vacuum tubes to transistors to the
microchip to intergrated circuits to fifth Generation artificial
intelligence computers? Already biological and neural computers are
pushing the frontiers of the sixth and seventh generation. Today
knowledge is worthwhile only if it comes from the cutting edge. By
the time it is passed on via any other method it itself is obsolete.
Especially via print. Are you aware it takes about eight years today
to get a textbook into the educational pipeline almost anywhere in
North America? The book is obsolete the day it is written, yet we
are supposedly training kids for the future with this material. I
say we aren't even training them for the present but for a crumbling
past!
Why some universities today are not even aware of the speed at
which knowledge is doubling! The UBC President's mission statement
titled "Toward the Pacific Century: The Presidents Report" published
in 1988 by the largest institution of supposedly higher knowledge in
western Canada, stated that knowledge was doubling every 15 years
(without citing his reference). Well I have news for him: That may
be the case in his school but the 50 percent of new knowledge that
used to come from North America is now coming from the Orient and
Southeast Asia. For years the changing figures have shown the
knowledge time frame dropping to five, three then two years. Even
this week the prestigious Futurist magazine, published in Bethesda,
Maryland (Washington, D.C. suburb) said every 20 months. In the
"Parent Advisory" column written by Marilyn Stusiak, referring to
library resources in a story concerning Liz Austrom, Vancouver School
District principal of curriculum resources, said "Projections are
that scientific and technological information is growing so fast,
known data will double every 20 months".
North American schools just aren't aware of what is happening to
the degree that is necessary. Yes, there are minute pockets of
awareness but they are minimal, have little opportunity of input to
the rigid higher levels of academia where in most cases, the rulers
are not willing to give up their cherished beliefs in the long gone
educational dogma of yesterday.
Hence, my view that the present system will not evolve but
collapse. Today if you can throw a switch for electricity and turn a
tap for water you should be able to punch a button for knowledge !
It's a future where only those who learn to dance with electrons
will thrive. Many others will not even survive. Would you, dear
reader, be at your present level of influence and affluence today if
you could not read or write? You needed to know the three "r's" of
the Industrial Age, reading, 'riting and 'rithmetic. Today if you
have not acquired the knowledge of the new three "r's", ram, rom and
run, you are electronically as illiterate in the Communications Age
as perhaps your great grand-parents were at the start of the
Industrial Age.
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